Risk Watchdog
By Business Monitor International
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Podcast Description
Weekly analysis of major themes in the global economy, with a focus on emerging markets. Our top analysts speak about their views on macroeconomic investment strategy, the outlook for financial markets, and political risk.
| Name | Description | Released | Price | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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1 |
Telecare: Transforming The Delivery Of Healthcare | The spread of mobile phones and wireless subscriptions is already transforming the delivery of healthcare. In this week's podcast, we are joined by Head of Telecoms Laura Holland and Pharmaceuticals #38; Healthcare analyst Kaushal Shah to discuss a new Special Report, Global Telecare: Healthcare For The Digital Age, which they recently wrote, including their innovative methodology to identify promising markets in the sector. BMI will be recording a more in-depth webinar on the topic soon. #160; | 22 5 12 | Free | View In iTunes |
|
2 |
Latin America Economic Divergence Opening Up | For several months now, BMI has flagged the likelihood of a slowdown in the Brazilian economy as imbalances unwind over the coming years. Just as this process begins, there are signs that the Mexican economy is picking up steam. Two of our analysts in the New York office, Julie Beckenstein and Katherine Weber, join James Howat to discuss the diverging fortunes of the two key Latin American economies. | 16 5 12 | Free | View In iTunes |
|
3 |
Russia: How Credible Are The New Government’s Promises Of Modernisation? | As Vladimir Putin returns to the presidency, the outlook for Russia is as uncertain as ever.nbsp;Our head of Europe Country Risk, Mark Schaltuper,nbsp;discusses what the recent protests meannbsp;for the country'snbsp;broadernbsp;political outlook.nbsp;We are also joined by ournbsp;Infrastructure analyst Helene Wehtje and Oil #38; Gas analyst Idriss Hadj-Nacer to talk about whether the new administration'snbsp;promises ofnbsp;reform will yield substantive change in their respective sectors. | 14 5 12 | Free | View In iTunes |
|
4 |
Lucky Country Faces Perfect Storm | Despite surviving the Global Financial Crisis in relatively better shape than the rest of the developed world, Australia now faces a similar fate to that of the US as its housing market shows signs of a major bubble. Country Risk analyst Andrew Wood sits down with fellow Country Risk analyst Esther Ye and Head of Country Risk and Financial Markets Stuart Allsopp to discuss their bearish views on the lucky country, and what they mean for both financial markets and the economy at large. | 11 5 12 | Free | View In iTunes |
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5 |
China In Africa: Seen Through The Healthcare Sector | China's relationship with Africa is a complex and controversial topic. Our Pharmaceutical analyst Dan Rosen joins the podcast to talk us through the nbsp;effects of China's growing presence on the African healthcare sector, an interesting microcosm for the country's wider involvement with the continent. Dan provides insights from a recent special report on the topic about the distinct threat and opportunities that Chinese firms present to other pharmaceutical firms, as well as to Africa itself. | 4 5 12 | Free | View In iTunes |
|
6 |
Eurozone Crisis Update: Where We Are In The ‘Muddle Through’ Scenario | To mark the three-year anniversary of the Business Monitor Podcast, this week we feature an impressive panel of Europe analysts to recap our views on the eurozone crisis. Following an initially positive response to the ECB's liquidity injections since December 2011, several key political developments seems to have shaken market sentiment once again. Our latest podcasts, hosted by Head of Europe Country Risk Mark Schaltuper, features Global Economic Strategist Bruce Jeffery, and Europe analysts Chris Graham, Thaddeus Best, Alex Maragoudakis and James Howat. | 27 4 12 | Free | View In iTunes |
|
7 |
China: Downside Risks Dominate Yuan Outlook | Andrew Wood speaks to Business Monitorrsquo;s Head of Asia Country Risk and Financial Markets, Stuart Allsopp, about Chinarsquo;s recent move to slightly liberalise yuan trading. Against popular consensus, Stuart explains why Beijing would actually be happy to see some weakness in the yuan, why the unit is not the one-way bet that many investors believe it is, and how this coincides with BMIrsquo;s long-running forecast for a hard-landing in China. | 19 4 12 | Free | View In iTunes |
|
8 |
Argentina And Venezuela Risks Remain Underappreciated | Mark Schaltuper speaks to Business Monitor's Head of Latin America Country Risk Richard Hamilton and Latin America Analyst Davide Scigliuzzo nbsp;in New York to discuss why 2012 may prove to be a 'pivotal year' for Argentina and Venezuela. This follows a recent Special Report on The Hidden Risks To The Global Economy, in which our Latin America team notes that the potential crisis risks confronting both countries do not seem to be fully appreciated by investors and global markets. | 12 4 12 | Free | View In iTunes |
|
9 |
Egypt’s Presidential Election: What To Expect | Egyptrsquo;s presidential election in May 2012 will be a major milestone in the transition to democracy following the fall of long-time leader Hosni Mubarak in February 2011. The countryrsquo;s most powerful political movement, the Muslim Brotherhood, announced earlier this month that it would field its own candidate, Khairat al-Shater, for the presidency, and we believe that he has a realistic chance of winning. In this weekrsquo;s podcast, BMIrsquo;s Head of Political Risk Analysis, Yoel Sano, discusses with Jean-Paul Pigat, Head of Middle East and North Africa Analysis, the forthcoming presidential election and what this will mean for Egypt. | 5 4 12 | Free | View In iTunes |
|
10 |
EU Accession Prospects Place Balkan Energy On Investment Map | Despite the major structural shortcomings and policy challenges, which overshadow much of frontier Europe's investment outlook, a recent Business Monitor report identifies key long-term investment opportunities in the Western Balkan energy infrastructure sector. Europe Analyst Victoria Melvin and Power Analyst Laura Rizzotto join Mark Schaltuper to discuss their outlook. | 2 4 12 | Free | View In iTunes |
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11 |
On The Ground In Sub-Saharan Africa: Vast Potential, But All Eyes On Political Risk | Having recently returned from visiting the region, Lisa Lewin, Head of Sub-Saharan Africa Country Risk, and Matthew Searle, Sub-Saharan Africa analyst, share their on-the-ground impressions after visiting South Africa and Kenya respectively. | 22 3 12 | Free | View In iTunes |
|
12 |
Myanmar Awakens: Unearthing Asia’s Hidden Gem | Myanmarrsquo;s continuing reform drive has attracted the interest of investors around the world, but the question remains whether or not we are witnessing a true opening up of one of the worldrsquo;s most secluded states. Rahul Ghosh, Head of Asia Research, discusses with Andrew Wood, Asia Country Risk Analyst, and Daniel Gan, Infrastructure analyst, the vast investment opportunities that Myanmarrsquo;s economic development presents and the myriad risks involved in entering such a frontier market. | 15 3 12 | Free | View In iTunes |
|
13 |
Putin’s Return To The Kremlin: What To Expect | Vladimir Putin won nbsp;Russia's presidential election in the first round on March 4, which will see him become Russia's president for a third term in May. With political unrest in the run-up to the election having changed Russia's political landscape for good, Yoel Sano, Head of Political Risk Analysis, speaks with Business Monitor's Head of Europe Country Risk, Mark Schaltuper, to discuss the significance of Putin's return to the Kremlin and what can be expected over the coming years. | 9 3 12 | Free | View In iTunes |
|
14 |
Eurozone Crisis: Is Short-Term Relief Enough To Ensure Survival? | The approval of a second bailout for Greece and a second LTRO auction by the European Central Bank have significantly alleviated meltdown risks for the eurozone periphery and the region's banks. However, more will need to be accomplished over the next 12-18 months to ensure the long-term survival of the currency bloc. Mark Schaltuper, BMI's Head of Europe Country Risk, is joined by Bruce Jeffery, Global Economic Strategist, to assess where we currently are in the eurozone sovereign debt crisis. | 29 2 12 | Free | View In iTunes |
|
15 |
Chinese Hard Landing Revisited | On February 18th, China cut its Reserve Requirement Ratio by 0.5% to 20.5% in an effort to boost liquidity amid a declining economic growth outlook.nbsp; In this weekrsquo;s Business Monitor Podcast, Stuart Allsopp, Head of Asia Country Risk, discusses with Andrew Wood the hard landing scenario that looks to be unfolding in China, as well as whether or not the government will be able to engineer a recovery similar to what we saw in 2009. | 23 2 12 | Free | View In iTunes |
|
16 |
Egypt, One Year After Mubarak | February 11 marks the first anniversary of the overthrow of former Egyptian president Hosni Mubarak. In this weekrsquo;s Business Monitor Podcast, Jean-Paul Pigat, Head of Middle East and North Africa Analysis, discusses Egyptrsquo;s ongoing political transition, the recent parliamentary elections, and the near-term and longer-term outlooks for the economy. | 10 2 12 | Free | View In iTunes |
|
17 |
Commodity Outlook: Key Themes And Core Risks | After a volatile year and a seemingly robust start to 2012, Mark Schaltuper, Head of Europe Country Risk #38; Financial Markets, asked Business Monitor's Commodities team what the outlook for commodities is for the remainder of the year. John Davies, Ed Coughlan and Ophelie Buchet share their views on the upside potential for the commodity complex, as well as the significant downside risks which remain. | 27 1 12 | Free | View In iTunes |
|
18 |
Global Themes For 2011 – Retrospective | Towards the end of 2010 our global team identified nine key global themes for 2011, ranging from an intensification of the eurozone debt crisis to 'all eyes on China'. With 2011 now coming to a close, Mark Schaltuper, BMI's Head of Europe Country Risk is joined by Global Economic Strategist Tim Cooper to see how these themes have endured throughout the year. | 12 12 11 | Free | View In iTunes |
|
19 |
The Outlook For Commodity Prices In 2012 | Commodity prices have dramatically fallen out of their multi-year uptrends in recent months, as the global macroeconomic environment has deteriorated and risk aversion swept through markets.nbsp; This week, Edward Coughlan, BMI's Head of Mining Analysis is joined by John Davies, Head of Commodities Analysis, to discuss the outlook for commodity prices in 2012. | 25 11 11 | Free | View In iTunes |
|
20 |
Iran War Risks Rising | The past fortnight has seen increased speculation that Israel could launch air strikes against Iran to prevent it from developing nuclear weapons. With the world economy already facing risks from the eurozone crisis and a possible 'hard landing' in China, a war with Iran would be the third big shock to the international system. Yoel Sano, Head of Political Risk Analysis at Business Monitor, discusses his outlook on the situation. | 11 11 11 | Free | View In iTunes |
|
21 |
Eurozone: Back In The Danger Zone | The last week saw the eurozone rapidly spiral towards the brink of meltdown, days after it seemed as though a meaningful crisis response was upon us. Although the market response to rumours of a Greek referendum on its second bailout package proved premature, the risk of a 'disorderly' default for Greece is at its highest ever. Mark Schaltuper, BMI's Head of Europe Country Risk #38; Financial Markets is joined by Global Economic Strategist Bruce Jeffery to digest the past week's turbulent developments. | 4 11 11 | Free | View In iTunes |
|
22 |
BMI On The Ground In Nigeria And Ghana | Business Monitor's Head of Africa Country Risk and Financial Markets Lisa Lewin shares her impressions after a recent trip to Nigeria and Ghana in late October. | 25 10 11 | Free | View In iTunes |
|
23 |
On The Ground In Cairo: Near-term Uncertainty To Dominate | A recent trip to Cairo has confirmed many of Business Monitor's core views on the short and long-term outlook for the Egyptian economy. Key concerns for many investors include the upcoming parliamentary elections, recurring strike activity, in addition to the security situation throughout the country. This week Mark Schaltuper, Head of Europe Country Risk #38; Financial Markets is joined by Jean-Paul Pigat, Head of Middle East and North Africa analysis at Business Monitor International, to reflect on the latest trip to Egypt. | 7 10 11 | Free | View In iTunes |
|
24 |
China In 2012: The Year Of The Hard Landing? | China's economic growth story has rapidly turned from one underpinned by productivity gains to one engineered by inflationary policies, and the quality of growth has suffered considerably as a result. Several years of poor capital allocation will have to be unwound eventually, and with the global economy stuttering in the second half of 2011, Rahul Ghosh and Stuart Allsopp of Business Monitor's Asia Research team discuss whether 2012 could be the year of the Chinese 'hard landing'. This podcast is a precursor to BMI's upcoming Special Report, China 2012: From Miracle to Meltdown?, which is available for purchase from Business Monitor's Online Store. #160;#160; SPECIAL BONUS OFFER! Buy this report before 28 October 2011 and you'll also receive a FREE ExcelTM data pack of the macro-economic data from the report, as well as extra bonus data series (This will be sent separately to your PDF). Order today and claim your 15% discount, so you pay just #8364;330/US$490 (down from #8364;390/US$580). Click here to order today | 29 9 11 | Free | View In iTunes |
|
25 |
Imminent Greek Default? “The Market Has Bet Its Life On It” | The 'epic crisis' scenario which we outlined in a recent podcast appears to be in full swing. With much riding on the decisions policymakers make in the very near term, Business Monitor's Chief Economic Strategist Tim Cooper and Head of Europe Country Risk #38; Financial Markets Mark Schaltuper believe that the probability of a Greek debt default could be very near. | 23 9 11 | Free | View In iTunes |
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26 |
Turkish-Israeli Relations: On A Collision Course Or Just “Spilled Milk”? | Following the release of two recent reports on Business Monitor Online, on the geopolitical implications of the souring diplomatic relationship between Turkey and Israel, Mark Schaltuper, Head of Europe Country Risk and Financial Markets hosts a panel of Europe, Middle East and North Africa analysts, as well as Business Monitor's Head of Political Risk Analysis, Yoel Sano. | 16 9 11 | Free | View In iTunes |
|
27 |
“The Eurozone Will Survive, But Resolution Will Take An Epic Crisis” | The title of a recent Business Monitor International report highlights the view that the eurozone is expected to muddle through. However, as Bruce Jeffery, Global Markets Strategist at Business Monitor, explains, a resolution to the ongoing sovereign debt debacle will require a crisis of epic proportions. While implausible at this juncture, alternative scenarios cannot be ruled out either, though the costs of anything short of a resolution will far exceed those of closer fiscal integration within the single-currency bloc. | 9 9 11 | Free | View In iTunes |
|
28 |
Central Bank Of Kenya: “Stuck Between A Rock And A Hard Place” | Sharp exchange rate depreciation and rising inflationary pressures have been exacerbated by an unpredictable and often contradictory monetary policy by the Central Bank of Kenya. Can recent - admittedly half-hearted - measures to tighten policy prevent further shilling depreciation and reverse the inflationary trend? This week Mark Schaltuper speaks to Sub-Saharan Africa analyst, Matt Searle, about the Kenyan central bank's conundrum. | 2 9 11 | Free | View In iTunes |
|
29 |
After Qadhafi: The Outlook For Libya | Libyan rebels appear to have taken control of the capital Tripoli. However, Business Monitor's Head of Political Risk Yoel Sano cautions against premature optimism. While stability remains far from assured at the present juncture, we also speak with Saket Vemprala, Oil #38; Gas analyst, about the outlook for the all-important energy sector and when Libyan oil production can be expected to come back online. | 26 8 11 | Free | View In iTunes |
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30 |
Market Meltdown: Global Economy On The Edge (Special Report) | Mark Schaltuper, Head of Europe Country Risk and Financial Markets, and Tim Cooper, Chief Economic Strategist, come together to discuss Business Monitor's latest Special Report titled "Market Meltdown: Global Economy On The Edge". With the US reeling from debt concerns after losing its AAA credit rating, the eurozone dogged by the ongoing sovereign debt crises, and Japan still suffering from the consequences of March's earthquake, three of the world's four main economic pillars are faltering, threatening to drag the global economy into another recession. | 12 8 11 | Free | View In iTunes |
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31 |
The Arab Spring, Six Months On: Where Are We, And What Next? | It has been six months since popular uprisings toppled the presidents of Tunisia and Egypt, and set off a chain of events that brought civil war to Libya, and Syria and Yemen to the brink of collapse. In todayrsquo;s podcast, Jean-Paul Pigat, Head of Middle East and North Africa Analysis, discusses where the region stands, politically and economically, and what we should look out for over the coming 6-12 months. | 28 7 11 | Free | View In iTunes |
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32 |
Bank Stress Test: Insufficient, Unconvincing, Irrelevant! | The EU-wide bank stress test results released on July 15 offered little reprieve for financial markets as concerns over the eurozone sovereign debt crisis continue to dominate. At the heart of the stress test scenario is the lsquo;adverse scenariorsquo;, in which the euro-area economy contracts 0.5% in 2011 and equity markets fall 15%, while banks have to write off 25% of debt on Greecersquo;s 10-year bond. Importantly, while considered to be substantially more rigorous than the bodyrsquo;s stress test last year, the stress test does not take into account the possibility of a sovereign credit event in the eurozone, a scenario we at Business Monitor have long been arguing is only a matter of time. Mark Schaltuper, Head of Europe Analysis, is joined by fellow Europe analysts Chris Graham and Bruce Jeffery to discuss their views of the stress test results. | 18 7 11 | Free | View In iTunes |
|
33 |
Brazil: Consumer Credit Bubble? | Brazilrsquo;s economy benefits from an almost perfect commodity mix, a rapidly rising consumer base and a government committed to improving the countryrsquo;s investment climate, suggesting that it will continue to grow at a robust pace over the coming years. However, a reluctance by monetary policymakers to tighten credit conditions, for fear of hurting growth and sending the currency higher against the US dollar ndash; thus hurting exporters ndash; has resulted in signs of overheating for the economy. In early June, we recorded a podcast looking at the risk of Turkeyrsquo;s economy overheating. Today, Mark Schaltuper, Business Monitor's Head of Europe Analysis, asks Richard Hamilton, Head of Latin America Analysis, if we should now consider a similar risk scenario for Brazil... | 8 7 11 | Free | View In iTunes |
|
34 |
Indian Monsoon: BMI On Weather Watch | Our focus this week is on the Indian monsoon, which remains a significant and unpredictable factor in determining the countryrsquo;s agricultural performance, as well as that of headline inflation and economic growth. We only have to look back to the miserable monsoon of 2009, which triggered the worst drought in almost 40 years, to see the devastating impact that weak rainfall can have on Indiarsquo;s economy. Rahul Ghosh, Head of BMI's Asia Research, is joined by Sarah Wong, one of BMI's Asia commodities analysts, to discuss this year's latest monsoon forecasts and the potential micro and macro implications. | 30 6 11 | Free | View In iTunes |
|
35 |
Macau’s Casino Boom: A House Of Cards? | The Special Administrative Region of Macau has been one of the fastest growing economies in the world in 2010 and so far this year on the back of phenomenal growth in its booming casino sector. This red-hot performancenbsp;has unsurprisingly attracted many of the worldrsquo;s leading gaming companies looking to tap into the secular rise of disposable incomes across Asia. Beneath the surface, however, lies some serious concerns about the sustainability of the territoryrsquo;s gambling-based growth model. Here to take us through whether Macau is a one-way bet or, in fact, a house of cards is Stuart Allsopp, Head of Asia Country Risk #38; Financial markets at Business Monitor International. | 22 6 11 | Free | View In iTunes |
|
36 |
Thai Election Scenarios: The Good, The Bad & The Ugly | Just over a year since widespread political protests and social unrest crippled Bangkok and scared off tourists, Thailand is gearing up fornbsp;crucial general elections on July 3rd. With only weeks to go, there remains much uncertainty over the elections, the outcome on which could go a long waynbsp;to determine the countryrsquo;s economic fortunes over the medium term.nbsp; Rahul Ghosh, Head of Asia Research, is joined by Asia analysts Andy Wang and Daniel Gan to discuss the various permutations and implications and what they mean for investors. | 13 6 11 | Free | View In iTunes |
|
37 |
Global Recovery In Trouble? Identifying The Main Sources Of Risk | Mark Schaltuper, Head of Europe analysis at Business Monitor International, is joined by Justin Patrie, Head of Country Risk and Financial Markets, and Jean-Paul Pigat, Head of Middle East and North Africa analysis, to identify some of the key sources of risk to the global economy. | 10 6 11 | Free | View In iTunes |
|
38 |
Is Turkey’s Economy Overheating? | There are big question marks over the current policy advocated by the Turkish central bank, which despite stellar economic growth chose to cut interest rates to stem the flow of 'hot money'. With consumer credit growing at over 40% y-o-y in late May, and inflation beginning to rear its head, we ask Chris Graham, Europe analyst at Business Monitor, is the economy at risk of a hard landing? | 3 6 11 | Free | View In iTunes |
|
39 |
Latin America: Look Out For Political Risk! | Political risk has ceased to be a dominant theme in Latin America over the past couple of years, allowing the region to emerge ever more prominently on global investorsrsquo; radar screens since the global financial crisis. The focus, instead, shifted towards the regionrsquo;s resource wealth, the vast capital investment growth potential and the growing consumer base, which has attracted considerable foreign capital into major Latin American markets. However, with a busy election schedule over the next 12 months, Richard Hamilton, Head of Latin America Analysis at Business Monitor, believes that this is about to change. | 24 5 11 | Free | View In iTunes |
|
40 |
The State Of The Spanish Housing Market | On this week's podcast, we return to the issue of the Spanish economy and specifically, the state of the housing market. BMI's Head of Country Risk #38; Financial Markets Justin Patrie talks with Europe Analyst Chris Graham on the outlook for Spanish real estate and what it means for growth, the markets and the stability of the eurozone. | 10 5 11 | Free | View In iTunes |
|
41 |
Spain: Answering The Big Questions | On this week's Podcast, BMI's Spain analyst Chris Graham answers all the key questions concerning the stability and outlook for the Spanish economy. These include: Why is Spain so important for the European outlook? What are the risks of a Spanish banking sector collapse? What has been done to support the banking sector? To what extent have Spain's macroeconomic problems been addressed? How much will fiscal austerity impact the recovery? Will Spain face a treasury crisis like Ireland and Greece and be forced to go to the EFSF for multilateral financing? | 7 3 11 | Free | View In iTunes |
|
42 |
MENA Political Crisis: Regional And Global Implications | On this week's podcast, BMI's Head of Country Risk #38; Financial Markets Justin Patrie talks to Jean-Paul Pigat about the ongoing political crisis in the Middle East. The discussion centres on the tactical and strategic implications for regional/global markets and macro. Justin and Jean-Paul also discuss potential political scenarios in Saudi Arabia and Iran as well key risks going forward. | 1 3 11 | Free | View In iTunes |
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43 |
Africa: Political Risks In Focus, Post-Egypt | In light of current unrest in Egypt, we turn our attention southwards to Sub-Saharan Africa, where political risk is rising in Cote drsquo;Ivoire following last yearrsquo;s disputed election, and in Uganda and Nigeria ahead of elections in February and April, respectively. Meanwhile, higher inflation threatens to bring instability to other countries in the region. BMIrsquo;s Africa analysts, Alan Cameron and Matthew Searle, discuss our outlook on these events, and the implications for investors. | 4 2 11 | Free | View In iTunes |
|
44 |
2011: Global Macro-Market Strategy | On this week's Business Monitor Podcast, Head of Country Risk #38; Financial Markets Justin Patrie discusses the 2011 macro-market outlook with Global Economic Strategist Tim Cooper. Key issues explored include global equity and FX strategy, developed vs. emerging market performance, the inflation and interest rate outlook and key risks to the ongoing macroeconomic recovery. | 25 1 11 | Free | View In iTunes |
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45 |
Inflation And Political Risk: After Tunisia, Where Next? | 2011 is brewing up to be a big year for political risk in emerging markets. Underlying much of the risk is food and energy prices, with rising inflation likely to catalyse public discontent, especially in countries with existing social strains. Nowhere is this more evident than in the Middle East, where the collapse of the Tunisian government has highlighted the potent risks from a combination of high youth unemployment, corruption and a weakening state structure. BMI's Head of Country Risk #38; Financial Markets Justin Patrie discusses the issue with Head of Middle East #38; North Africa analysis Jean-Paul Pigat and Head of Political Risk Analysis Yoel Sano. | 18 1 11 | Free | View In iTunes |
|
46 |
Australian Flood: Key Implications | Heavy flooding in Queensland has affected an area the size of France and Germany combined, disrupting agricultural and mining activities. Speaking from BMI's Asia headquarters in Singapore, Head of Asia Research Rahul Ghosh, Head of Asia Country Risk #38; Financial Markets Stuart Allsopp, and Australia Analyst Kelvin Tan talk about the economic and financial market repercussions resulting from this disaster. Key issues include the potential impact on Queensland's industries, broader macroeconomic as well as political implications, and how opportunities are shaping up for Aussie dollar bears. | 7 1 11 | Free | View In iTunes |
|
47 |
10 Themes For 2010: Review | With 2010 fast winding to a close, BMI's Head of Country Risk #38; Financial Markets Justin Patrie and Global Economic Strategist review the macro, market and political risk dynamics of the year. Specifically, we revisit the '10 Themes for 2010' we set out at the end of 2009, assessing those predictions against actual developments. Key issues addressed include the shape of the recovery in the US, the divisions within the eurozone and the performance of emerging markets vs. developed states. | 8 12 10 | Free | View In iTunes |
|
48 |
Eurozone: Answering The Big Questions | Ireland's decision to apply for a bailout from the European Union has not helped defend the euro or calm treasury markets elsewhere in the periphery. On this week's Business Monitor Podcast, BMI's Head of Country Risk #38; Financial Markets talks with Global Economic Strategist Tim Cooper and Head of Europe Analysis Mark Schaltuper about the big questions looming over the Eurozone. Questions asked include will the European Monetary Union break up? Which countries will need to restructure their sovereign debt? What is the outlook for the euro? and How much will treasury market woes in Spain and Portugal impact the German real economy? | 26 11 10 | Free | View In iTunes |
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49 |
Football Finance | On this week's Business Monitor Podcast we talk with the Editor of Corporate Finance Week Richard Benson on the issue of English Premier League sales and acquisitions. In particular, we address the questions of whether a bubble is building in the English Premier League, what the football market can tell us about wider UK corporate finance and which football clubs are most likely to see ownership transitions in the coming years. | 12 11 10 | Free | View In iTunes |
|
50 |
QE2 And Global Macro/Market Implications | On the back of the US Federal Reserve's decision to purchase US$600bn in treasury assets through the second quarter of 2011, we assess the implications for the US economy and global financial markets. Business Monitor's Head of Country Risk #38; Financial Markets Justin Patrie speaks with Global Economic Strategist Tim Cooper. | 4 11 10 | Free | View In iTunes |
|
51 |
A Busy Week In Beijing: Assessing Our China Views | It has been a hectic week for China watchers, with a stream of economic data releases, policy initiatives and rumours of anointed government successors leaving investors with little time to pause for thought. Indeed, a four-day meeting to discuss Chinarsquo;s next five-year plan was quickly followed by the countryrsquo;s first interest rate hike in three years and the release of pretty robust third quarter growth numbers. Moreover, these developments have played out against a backdrop of increasingly inflammatory relations with the US ndash; particularly regarding the subject of the yuan. Here to make sense of it all is resident China expert Stuart Allsopp, interviewed by Rahul Ghosh, BMI's Head of Asia Research. | 22 10 10 | Free | View In iTunes |
|
52 |
Global FX Wars: Competitive Devaluations Shift Into A Higher Gear | The US Federal Reserve has declared war on deflation by announcing QE 2.0, taking the ongoing competitive debasement among major central banks to the next level. Not only has this seen the US dollar weaken sharply against FX majors, such as the euro, Japanese yen and the Swiss franc, but perhaps even more notably, the return of the US carry trade has led to major Emerging Market FX appreciation. In several cases this has already seen central banks in Latin America and Asia introduce capital controls, and in emerging Europe's case, step up intervention schedules. How will policmakers respond going forward, and what will be the key implications for monetary policy across the board? Tim Cooper, Chief Economic Strategist, Richard Hamilton, Head of Latin America Analysis, Rahul Ghosh, Head of Asia Research and Mark Schaltuper, Head of Europe Analysis are this week's panellists, discussing the implications of more quantitative easing by the Fed on regional FX markets. | 15 10 10 | Free | View In iTunes |
|
53 |
Global Political Risk: Key Themes In 2011/2012 | On this week's Business Monitor Podcast, we explore key themes in political risk. Thus far, the global financial crisis has arguably had only a limited impact on political stability. That said, BMI's Head of Political Risk Analysis Yoel Sano cautions that fiscal austerity and inflation remain key risks in developed states and emerging markets respectively, going forward. Key topics discussed include the rising prevalence of 'hung parliaments', the impact of public expenditure cuts in 2011 and the potential for 'wild card' political events. | 4 10 10 | Free | View In iTunes |
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54 |
On The Ground In Nairobi: Why East Africa Is Popping Up On Investors’ Radar Screens | On this weekrsquo;s Business Monitor Podcast we are joined by Lisa Lewin, Head of Africa Analysis, to hear about her lsquo;on the groundrsquo; impressions after returning from a trip to Kenya. A burgeoning middle class and growing trade integration among East African nations suggest that several sectors stand to benefit from the highly attractive economic outlook. This view appears to have been reaffirmed by Business Monitorrsquo;s trip to Nairobi. However, political uncertainties and concerns about a growing real estate bubble mean that investors will likely proceed with caution. | 17 9 10 | Free | View In iTunes |
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55 |
Central And Eastern Europe: Two-Years After Lehman | On this week's Business Monitor Podcast, we revisit Central and Eastern Europe and our core macroeconomic strategy favouring Turkey and Poland. Has the region shaken off the structural imbalances which made it a focal point of crisis risks or is the positive convergence story no longer a core defining feature for the growth outlook? BMI's Head of Country Risk and Financial Markets Justin Patrie is joined by Head of Europe Analysis Mark Schaltuper and Europe Analysts Bruce Jeffery, Dan Zaczkiewicz and Chris Graham. | 6 9 10 | Free | View In iTunes |
|
56 |
Global Treasury Markets: How Low Can Yields Go? | On this week's Business Monitor Podcast we assess the outlook for global treasury markets. 2010 has thus far been a gangbusters year for treasuries and the implications for interest rate and inflation expectations has heavily reinforced our core macroeconomic outlook for a major downturn in global demand growth. Key questions addressed in the podcast include: How much further can the bull run in tresauries last? Are we at risk of a fixed income bubble? What are the implications of yield compression for equities and FX? What does treasury strength in the US and Eurozone mean for emerging market assets? Head of Country Risk Financial Markets Justin Patrie is joined by Global Economic Strategist Tim Cooper, Head of Europe Analysis Mark Schaltuper and Head of Latin America Analysis Richard Hamilton. | 25 8 10 | Free | View In iTunes |
|
57 |
The Macro-Micro Disconnect In The US | On this week's Business Monitor Podcast, we examine the disconnect in the US between positive microeconomic signals coming out of second quarter corporate earnings reports and consistently dismal macroeconomic data releases. BMI's Head of Country Risk and Financial Markets Justin Patrie is joined by Global Economic Strategist Tim Cooper to discuss what accounts for this divergence and the key implications for the macroeconomic and financial markets outlook. Specific topics discussed include the rally in treasuries, the lacklustre stock market performance and the divergence in profitability between large and small companies. | 20 8 10 | Free | View In iTunes |
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58 |
Top Emerging Market Picks: Focus Latin America (Colombia and Brazil) | On this week's Business Monitor Podcast, we continue our theme of 'top emerging market picks' with a focus on Latin America. BMI's Head of Country Risk and Financial Markets Justin Patrie discusses the region with Head of Latin America Analysis Richard Hamilton and Latin America Analyst Martha Stickings. Specific countries discussed include Colombia, Brazil, Panama and the Dominican Republic with emphasis on the macroeconomic outlook and forward-looking analysis of equities, fixed income and exchange rates. | 13 8 10 | Free | View In iTunes |
|
59 |
Top Emerging Market Picks: EMEA Focus (Egypt, Ghana, Turkey) | On this weekrsquo;s podcast, we return our attention to emerging markets, highlighting opportunities beyond the BRICs in EMEA- Europe, Middle East and Africa. Business Monitor's Head of Country Risk and Financial Markets Justin Patrie, discusses the outlook for Egypt, Ghana and Turkey with Mark Schaltuper, Head of Europe Analysis, Liz Martins, Head of Middle East and North Africa Analysis, and Lisa Lewin, Head of Sub-Saharan Africa Analysis. | 6 8 10 | Free | View In iTunes |
|
60 |
European Bank Stress Tests: No Panacea | On this week's businesss monitor podcast, we assess the state of the European banking sector on the back of the EU-wide stress test results released on July 23. BMI's Head of Country Risk and Financial Markets Justin Patrie, along with Head of Europe Analysis Mark Schaltuper and Europe Analyst Chris Graham, dissect the methodology of the test and outline what the results mean for the regional market and macro outlook. Also discussed are the underlying stability and outlook for banking sectors in Spain, Germany and emerging Europe. | 27 7 10 | Free | View In iTunes |
|
61 |
Reading The Micro Trends: Freight Indicators And The Global Recovery | Through the second quarter of 2010, many analysts noted a divergence between seemingly positive microeconomic data and a macroeconomic outlook which was flagging a renewed downturn in growth. A seemingly strong recovery in container shipping in particular augured well for global demand and trade. On this week's Business Monitor Podcast, BMI's Head of Shipping and Freight Transport Michelle Byrne puts these indicators and trends into context and cautions that continued strong growth is not likely on the cards. | 22 7 10 | Free | View In iTunes |
|
62 |
US Outlook: Downturn Or Double Dip? | Data from the second quarter has reinforced our long-held core outlook for a downturn in US growth in H210 and 2011. On this week's Business Monitor Podcast, BMI's Head of Country Risk and Financial Markets Justin Patrie and Global Economic Strategist Tim Cooper, revisit their views on the shape of the US recovery and the implications for global macro strategy and capital markets. | 16 7 10 | Free | View In iTunes |
|
63 |
Eurozone: Where To Next? | It is now over 9 months since Greece's sovereign debt crisis brought the Eurozone's stability to the forefront of investor concerns. With a trillion dollar bailout fund in place, and the recent bounce in the euro (some 5% against the US dollar), can we assume that the worst is now behind us. Justin Patrie, Head of Country Risk and Financial Markets at Business Monitor, is joined by Mark Schaltuper, Head of Europe Analysis, to discuss this. | 9 7 10 | Free | View In iTunes |
|
64 |
Markets On The Edge | The technicals and fundamentals are starting to align for a major correction in global markets. Terry Alexander, Head of Global Research at Business Monitor, joins Mark Schaltuper to discuss some of the key views on the markets. | 5 7 10 | Free | View In iTunes |
|
65 |
What Next For Afghanistan? | US President Barack Obamarsquo;s decision to replace General Stanley McChrystal as commander in Afghanistan raises the question of how the war effort there is likely to proceed under new commander General David Petraeus. nbsp;BMIrsquo;s Tim Cooper talks to Yoel Sano, Head of Political Risk, about the future of Afghanistan. | 25 6 10 | Free | View In iTunes |
|
66 |
Commodities Round-Up: Cyclical Recovery vs Macro Headwinds | This week Mark Schaltuper is joined by Cedric Chehab, Head of Commodities Research at BMI, to discuss the outlook for the commodity complex. With macroeconomic headwinds in the making, how will cyclical commodities perform relative to grains and softs, and what are the risks of gold forming a bubble? | 18 6 10 | Free | View In iTunes |
|
67 |
3 Core Themes For Latin America | Against an increasingly challenging global economic backdrop, Richard Hamilton, Head of Latin America analysis at Business Monitor International, outlines three core themes for the region. Having been among the first regions to emerge from the global economic downturn in 2009, we take a look at the likely impact of a double-dip in China and an eventual withdrawal of stimulus in the US on Latin American economies. | 11 6 10 | Free | View In iTunes |
|
68 |
Australia’s Economy: A Bearish Outlook | Facing a double-whammy of a credit-fuelled housing bubble and a slowdown in Chinese economic activity, the outlook for Australiarsquo;s economy is turning increasingly precarious. While consensus continues to point towards further monetary tightening by the Reserve Bank of Australia, Business Monitorrsquo;s Head of Asia analysis, Stuart Allsopp, believes that further interest rate hikes are unlikely. Indeed, BMI does not rule out a renewed easing cycle by monetary policymakers in the near term. | 3 6 10 | Free | View In iTunes |
|
69 |
What’s Sukuking? Islamic Banking In The Global Slowdown & Beyond | Having surpassed the US$1trn mark, we take a look at Islamic banking and its outlooknbsp;over the next couple of years. Liz Martins, Head of Middle East and North Africa analysis at Business Monitor International, discusses some opportunities and threats of an industry that is expected to double in size over the coming five years. | 27 5 10 | Free | View In iTunes |
|
70 |
Global Strategy: Chinese Devaluation Risks, Australian Market Woes, European Crisis Outlook | On this week's Business Monitor Podcast, Head of Country Risk Financial Markets Justin Patrie, Chief Economist Tim Cooper and Head of Asia Analysis Stuart Allsop discuss the global strategic outlook. The market sell-off catalysed by the German ban on naked short selling has reinforced BMI's core views including deflation over inflation, a slowdown in growth in 2010 and risks to Chinese demand from the deflation of an asset price bubble there. Specific topics discussed include the risks of a Chinese devaluation, a weak Australian market outlook and the direction of global treasury yields. We conclude with conviction calls presented from each of the panellists. | 20 5 10 | Free | View In iTunes |
|
71 |
No Demand Here: Why Food & Drink Companies Should Focus On EM | Over the past several weeks we have heard about the gloomy outlook for consumer demand in developed markets. Household deleveraging in the US and the growing debt crisis in peripheral eurozone states suggest that a return to robust demand levels will be hard to come by. In this context, we examine the outlook for the Food #38; Drink sector in emerging markets, and ask Shonil Chande (BMI Food #38; Drink Analyst) to share his views on which markets stand to be of particular interest to global F#38;D majors going forward. | 14 5 10 | Free | View In iTunes |
|
72 |
What To Make Of The Market Meltdown | Recent developments in global markets have largely reaffirmed BMI's pre-existing key views on the eurozone (it looks bad), deflation and inflation (it's deflation), and the outlook for growth in the second half of 2010 (our expectation for a slowdown is looking better and better). Mark Schaltuper is joined by Tim Cooper, BMI's Chief Economist, to try and make some sense of recent events in the markets. | 7 5 10 | Free | View In iTunes |
|
73 |
China: A Sustainable Boom Or Bubble About To Burst? | There is no question that Chinarsquo;s economy is booming, with growth spiking to 11.9% in the first quarter. The worldrsquo;s largest country (by population) appears to have swept off the global recession with aplomb and many an analyst are counting on Chinese demand to drive a new global growth cycle. But is this growth sustainable or is the country at risk of over-heating and due for a major correction? On this weekrsquo;s Business Monitor podcast, we conclude our special three-part series on the post-recession outlook for the worldrsquo;s big economies with Senior Asia Analyst Stuart Allsopp and Head of Country Risk Financial Markets Justin Patrie discussing the outlook for China. | 29 4 10 | Free | View In iTunes |
|
74 |
Eurozone: From Greek Crisis To Global Weak Link | The outlook for the eurozone is looking steadily worse. Key European economies have thus far failed to capitalise on the bounce in headline growth seen in the US and emerging markets. Concomitantly, a brewing sovereign crisis in Greece has highlighted serious problems of overleverage in Portugal, Spain and Italy. On this week's podcast, Business Monitor Chief Economist Tim Cooper and Head of Country Risk #38; Financial Markets Justin Patrie discuss their outlook for the eurozone, ranging from the immediate risks of a Greek default, to the shape of the recovery and 10-year growth outlook. | 22 4 10 | Free | View In iTunes |
|
75 |
The Shape Of The Recovery In The US | The bounce is on in the United States, with real GDP growth forecast to surge to 2.8% in 2010. And yet, the spike in headline growth will not translate into much better job conditions nor re-inflation of prices in the crucial real estate market. On this week's podcast, Business Monitor Chief Economist Tim Cooper discusses the shape and dynamics of the economic recovery in the US and the implications for global macro and markets. | 15 4 10 | Free | View In iTunes |
|
76 |
Emerging Market FX: A (Very) Bullish Outlook | Business Monitorrsquo;s bullish stance on a host of emerging market (EM) currencies in recent quarters reflects one of our core macroeconomic assumptions, namely that unprecedented quantitative easing and loose fiscal policy measures in the US in 2009 would ultimately foster significant depreciatory forces for the US dollar. While this may not be visible in the EUR/US$ cross rate (given the eurozonersquo;s fair share of its own difficulties) EM FX has become the main beneficiary of this reversal in global capital flows. This week, Mark Schaltuper (Head of Latin America Analysis), Rahul Ghosh (Head of Asia Analysis) and Justin Patrie (Head of Europe Analysis) join forces to nominate their favourite picks and identify the underlying fundamentals driving these currencies. | 9 4 10 | Free | View In iTunes |
|
77 |
The Three Asias: A Macro And Market Outlook | At the height of the crisis, BMI suggested that a story of lsquo;Three Asiasrsquo; ndash; that of China and India, the domestic demand-driven economies and the trade-dependent states ndash; would dictate the pace and virility with which the region would recover from the global downturn. A year on, Justin Patrie asks Rahul Ghosh, Head of Asia Analysis, whether this macro theme is still relevant in emerging Asiarsquo;s post-crisis landscape, and what it means for country-specific asset allocation going forward. | 1 4 10 | Free | View In iTunes |
|
78 |
On The Ground In Nigeria And Ghana | In this weekrsquo;s Business Monitor podcast, Yoel Sano speaks to Lisa Lewin, Head of Africa Analysis, on her recent trip to Nigeria and Ghana. Lisa discusses both countriesrsquo; economic outlook for 2010, Nigeriarsquo;s banking sector and political crisis, and how Ghanarsquo;s forthcoming oil production promises to transform the economy. | 26 3 10 | Free | View In iTunes |
|
79 |
Turkey: Does Political Risk Matter? | Political risk is a perennial concern for foreign investors in Turkey, and a frequent cause of volatility on the Istanbul markets. Yet despite threats of military coups, an on-again off-again EU accession process, deep social tensions between secularist and moderate Islamist institutions, and a protracted ethnic Kurdish insurgency, the Turkish economy and financial markets have outperformed over the past 8 years. On this week's podcast, Yoel Sano (Head of Political Risk Analysis) and Justin Patrie (Head of Europe Analysis) discuss the political risk outlook for Turkey, assessing the interplay between politics, the markets and the long-term macroeconomic outlook. | 19 3 10 | Free | View In iTunes |
|
80 |
Is Libya’s “Ideal Frontier Market” Status At Risk? | With Libyan leader Muammar al Qadhafi stepping up his anti-Western rhetoric, there are growing fears that what Mark Mobius recently called 'the ideal frontier market' is turning its back on the reformist experiment it has been pursuing for the last few years. Mark Schaltuper speaks to Liz Martins, Head of Middle East and North Africa analysis, and Holly Pattenden, Head of Oil #38; Gas Industry analysis at BMI, about the diplomatic crisis and its impact on the country's business environment, and in particular, the energy sector. | 12 3 10 | Free | View In iTunes |
|
81 |
Return Of Risk Appetite: Opportunities & Implications For EM | In this week's podcast Mark Schaltuper (Head of Latin America Analysis) and Terry Alexander (Head of Country Risk and Financial Markets) discuss the return of risk appetite to global markets. Assessing recent moves and a stronger-than-expected bounce in developed markets' equities, we explore potential opportunities and the implications for emerging markets. | 5 3 10 | Free | View In iTunes |
|
82 |
Reappraising Emerging Markets Risk | In an era where a global financial crisis has been caused not by developments in Russia, South-East Asia or Argentina, but by banking insolvency in the United States and sovereign default risks in a eurozone member state, namely Greece, our panel of senior commentators discusses what it means to be an 'emerging market'. Justin Patrie, Head of Europe Analysis, Rahul Ghosh, Head of Asia Analysis and Mark Schaltuper, Head of Latin America Analysis at Business Monitor International explore how risk perceptions of emerging markets are shifting and what this will mean for the global macroeconomic outlook. | 25 2 10 | Free | View In iTunes |
|
83 |
Dire Straits: What Next For Iran And Its Nuclear Programme? | On this weekrsquo;s Business Monitor Podcast, BMIrsquo;s Head of Middle East Analysis Elizabeth Martins and Middle East Analyst Andrew Fargus discuss rising political risks in Iran concerning the nuclear situation. With diplomatic tensions escalating, Fargus assesses the implications of a potential Israeli strike on Iran, and discusses the latterrsquo;s retaliatory options. At home, the Iranian regime continues to face severe economic challenges and political unrest. | 18 2 10 | Free | View In iTunes |
|
84 |
Europe Strategy 2010: Impact Of The Greece Crisis | On this week's podcast, Business Monitor Chief Economist Tim Cooper, Head of Europe Analysis Justin Patrie and Senior Europe Analyst Bruce Jeffery discuss European investment strategy on the back of the Greek fiscal crisis and news of an EU support package for Athens. In addition to providing analysis on the most recent market developments in the Eurozone, panellists give their core views on the long-term macroeconomicand market implications of fiscal austerity programmes and deleveraging. Structural repercussions from the crisis on the Eurozone 'project' are also assessed. | 11 2 10 | Free | View In iTunes |
|
85 |
Political Risk To The Fore: Nigeria And Beyond | BMI's Africa team cautions that political risk in Sub-Saharan Africa may be on the rise as a full-blown leadership crisis continues to escalate in Nigeria. Alan Cameron and Lisa Lewin provide some insight into an increasingly tense political situation, sharing their views on potential outcomes from the ongoing crisis. The next couple of weeks and months could be critical to a peaceful resolution of the constitutional standoff. | 4 2 10 | Free | View In iTunes |
|
86 |
Are We At The End Of The Global Market Rally? | The end of month closes across asset classes could be the most important since March 2009, when a clear reversal pattern prompted us to turn bullish towards equities. This time, a weak close would suggest an end to the rally of the past 10 months, with the potential for some significant medium-term downside for equities and commodities alike. With US Q4 GDP data now out, Mark Schaltuper speaks to BMIrsquo;s Global Economist Tim Cooper about the outlook for global markets over the coming months. | 29 1 10 | Free | View In iTunes |
|
87 |
Brazil’s Investment Outlook: Limited Buying Opportunities Until Election | In this week's Business Monitor Podcast 'role-reversal' Terry Alexander, Head of Country Risk and Capital Markets at Business Monitor, interviews Mark Schaltuper, Head of Latin American Markets, on the investment outlook for Brazil in 2010. With much of the 'Great Brazil Hype' already priced in, Mark argues that the tide may be turning for Brazilian assets ahead of October's presidential election, as the economic policy mix becomes politically charged. | 21 1 10 | Free | View In iTunes |
|
88 |
Exit The Dragon: PBoC Begins To Tighten | This week the People's Bank of China tried to send a clear signal that it is starting to tighten monetary conditions as the economic recovery takes hold. Stuart Allsopp, BMI China analyst, explains the significance of the bank'snbsp; move to raise its 3-month bill financing rate and reserve requirement ratios for the monetary policy outlook in 2010. | 13 1 10 | Free | View In iTunes |
|
89 |
Ten Themes for 2010 | On this week's podcast, we interview Business Monitor Chief Economist Tim Cooper, who gives his analysis on the global outlook for 2010. Highlighted themes include relative performance of emerging markets versus developed economies, the inflation outlook, potential for 'double dips' in the US and China, asset allocation strategies and the risks to recovery. | 7 1 10 | Free | View In iTunes |
|
90 |
Podcast: 2009 Retrospective | On this week's Business Monitor Podcast, we take a look back at 2009 to give our assessment on what has been an unprecedented year for capital markets and the global economy. Justin Patrie, Head of Europe Analysis, is joined by Terry Alexander, Head of Country Risk Analysis, and Yoel Sano, Head of Political Risk Analysis, to discuss their key views and the surprises that emerged through the course of the year. | 21 12 09 | Free | View In iTunes |
|
91 |
Greek Downgrade: Implications For Europe And Global Investors | Sovereign risk roared back on to the agenda this week after Fitch Ratings agency downgraded Greece's sovereign issuer default rating to 'BBB+' on December 9. We discuss the tactical market implications for the eurozone and the strategic risks posed by further downgrades in the region going forward. | 11 12 09 | Free | View In iTunes |
|
92 |
The Outlook For The Kazakh Banking Sector | With the international investment community shaken by suggestions of a potential Dubai World default, this week we turn our attention to the troubled Kazakh banking sector. Bruce Jeffery, Business Monitor's Kazakhstan analyst, provides some insight into the industry and shares his views on the key themes, which will likely dominate next year. | 4 12 09 | Free | View In iTunes |
|
93 |
Dubai Debt Crisis: Implications for Gulf Economies & Global Financial Markets | Suggestions of a technical default on November 26 by UAE-based Dubai World have sent shockwaves through the financial world. Not only are creditworthiness concerns reaching boiling point, but global equity markets, too, seem to initially have gone into panic mode. Business Monitor's Liz Martins and Terry Alexander discuss the implications of a debt default by Dubai for the region and global financial markets. | 27 11 09 | Free | View In iTunes |
|
94 |
Central America: Should It Be On Investors’ Radar Screens? | A region which traditionally received only little coverage is being considered an option by an increasing number of foreign investors. Richard Hamilton, BMI's Latin America analyst, explains why interest in the region is growing, and whether Central America should be considered a viable option for foreign investors. | 20 11 09 | Free | View In iTunes |
|
95 |
The EM Outlook: Risks And Opportunities In The Next Decade | On November 12, Business Monitor International hosted a major investors' conference on the risks, opportunities and outlook for emerging markets over the coming decade. Justin Patrie talks with senior BMI strategists Terry Alexander and Tim Cooper about some of the themes and surprises that emerged from the conference. Highlighted topics include EM outperformance, structural drivers of growth, the role of China and risks to the convergence play. | 16 11 09 | Free | View In iTunes |
|
96 |
The Fall Of The Berlin Wall – The Effects On CEE 20 Years On | On Monday, November 9, much of Europe will be celebrating the 20th Anniversary of the Fall of the Berlin Wall and the catalyst it provided for the collapse of Communism on the continent. BMI's Justin Patrie explains the significance of this event for Emerging Europe, and what the outlook is for the next 20 years for the region. | 5 11 09 | Free | View In iTunes |
|
97 |
US Q3 GDP: Trick Or Treat? | With Halloween around the corner, we ask BMI's Global Economic Strategist, Tim Cooper, if the latest Q3 GDP reading in the US is a 'Trick' or a 'Treat'. For now, markets appear to be thinking the latter. | 29 10 09 | Free | View In iTunes |
|
98 |
China’s Q3 GDP Result | The release of Q3 real GDP data in China reaffirms Business Monitor's view that the Chinese economy is already in the midst of a very strong recovery. However, Stuart Allsopp from BMI's Asia team cautions that this does not constitute an end to the country's economic woes and highlights that deep structural imbalances persist. | 22 10 09 | Free | View In iTunes |
|
99 |
On The Ground In Dubai: An Outlook On The Gulf Region | Upon her return from the United Arab Emirates, we ask Liz Martins from the Middle East desk at BMI to share some of her views on the country and its prospects of weathering the macroeconomic storm hitting the region. | 15 10 09 | Free | View In iTunes |
|
100 |
Will Latvia’s Proposed Mortgage Rules Speed Up A Lat Devaluation? | As the Latvian government proposes a bill to change mortgage regulation to ease the debt burden on households, Bruce Jeffery argues that the country may be one step closer to eventual devaluation of the currency peg. | 8 10 09 | Free | View In iTunes |
| Total: 100 Episodes |
Customer Reviews
Risk Watchdog
Very good, insightful and contrarian. Excellent! Thank you Risk Watchdog
Great New Blog
Fantastic new blog. Great mix of financial, economic and political insight makes it an extremely valuable tool for investors, traders and followers of emerging markets. Keep in coming!
Punchy and Succint Analysis!
Great range of topics and good and punchy views. Really enjoy the podcasts. Keep it coming!
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