316 episodes

MHPListings Podcast

The Commercial Investing Show Jason Hartman

    • Business
    • 4.3 • 54 Ratings

MHPListings Podcast

    338: Socrates AI Model- Unveiling the May 7th Turning Point: Recession, Civil Unrest & International War Ahead? | Martin Armstrong

    338: Socrates AI Model- Unveiling the May 7th Turning Point: Recession, Civil Unrest & International War Ahead? | Martin Armstrong

    Jason welcomes back guest Martin Armstrong, a renowned economic forecaster. The conversation touches on Armstrong’s background, experiences in the financial industry, and his computer-driven approach to analysis. Armstrong’s economic confidence model predicts a peak on May 7th, signaling a shift towards a recession, civil unrest, and international conflicts into 2028. He emphasizes the significant role of the U.S. as a consumer-based economy and the global demand for American products, asserting that despite challenges, the U.S. dollar remains a strong reserve currency. Armstrong also discusses economic dynamics in Europe, Japan, and China.
    Key Takeaways:
    0:46 A historic overview by Martin Armstrong and the currencies
    5:50 Data driven approach
    9:30 Economic Confidence Model
    10:21 May 7, 2024: save the date
    13:41 The past 10 years and what it means to us now
    19:07 The future is… stagflation and Inflation
    23:52 CBDCs and big tech
    ArmstrongEconomics.com
     
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    Special Offer from Ron LeGrand:
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    Free Mini-Book on Pandemic Investing:
    https://www.PandemicInvesting.com

    • 27 min
    337: Retail Renaissance- Return of the Commercial Real Estate Market

    337: Retail Renaissance- Return of the Commercial Real Estate Market

    Jason welcomes Joshua Simon, founder of Simon Commercial Real Estate, as they discuss the state of commercial real estate. Josh highlights the strength of retail, especially in open-air strip centers and grocery-anchored spaces. Simon emphasized the retail renaissance, citing low vacancy rates and increased demand. Industrial properties faced challenges due to overbuilding, particularly in larger formats. Simon recommended investing in debt instruments or high-yielding retail assets, focusing on quick-service restaurants with strong operators and understanding lease structures. He also noted the value in acquiring vacant spaces from struggling tenants due to the scarcity of real estate.
    https://SimonCRE.com/
     
    #CommercialRealEstate #RetailRenaissance #IndustrialProperty #InvestmentStrategy
     
    Follow Jason on TWITTER, INSTAGRAM & LINKEDIN
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    Call our Investment Counselors at: 1-800-HARTMAN (US) or visit: https://www.jasonhartman.com/
    Free Class:  Easily get up to $250,000 in funding for real estate, business or anything else: http://JasonHartman.com/Fund
    CYA Protect Your Assets, Save Taxes & Estate Planning:
    http://JasonHartman.com/Protect
    Get wholesale real estate deals for investment or build a great business – Free Course: https://www.jasonhartman.com/deals
    Special Offer from Ron LeGrand:
    https://JasonHartman.com/Ron
    Free Mini-Book on Pandemic Investing:
    https://www.PandemicInvesting.com

    • 26 min
    336: Predicting the Next Economic Recession & Revolutionizing Banking with Decentralized Finance | Campbell Harvey

    336: Predicting the Next Economic Recession & Revolutionizing Banking with Decentralized Finance | Campbell Harvey

    Jason discusses the topic of decentralized finance (defi) and its potential advantages in the cryptocurrency world. He also touches on the issue of the US housing shortage and how it presents opportunities for real estate investors. Additionally, Jason highlights the benefits of joining the “Fire Your Managers” program and announced an upcoming Empowered Investor pro meeting that will host a guest who will present a special “tenant insurance” product. Finally, he invites everyone to join their community to grow their real estate portfolio.
    Jason then interviews Professor Campbell R. Harvey from Duke University’s Fuqua School of Business and the author of DeFi and the Future of Finance as they talk about the yield curve and Decentralized Finance. Harvey discusses the phenomenon of an inverted yield curve, which has predicted every recession for the last several decades. Harvey expressed his concern about the current inverted yield curve, which has been in place for 12 months, traditionally leading to a recession. Jason and Campbell also discuss the significance of an inverted yield curve and the potential of decentralized finance (defi) in the financial world. They identified problems with the current financial system and the possibility of solutions through DeFi, such as the need for an alternative to the SWIFT system for wire transfers and the ability to store and use value in transactions. With the advent of WEB 3.0 and the decentralization of monetary assets, DeFi is truly set to revolutionize the world in all economic aspects especially finance.
     
     
    Follow Jason on TWITTER, INSTAGRAM & LINKEDIN
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    Instagram.com/jasonhartman1/
    Linkedin.com/in/jasonhartmaninvestor/
    Call our Investment Counselors at: 1-800-HARTMAN (US) or visit: https://www.jasonhartman.com/
    Free Class:  Easily get up to $250,000 in funding for real estate, business or anything else: http://JasonHartman.com/Fund
    CYA Protect Your Assets, Save Taxes & Estate Planning:
    http://JasonHartman.com/Protect
    Get wholesale real estate deals for investment or build a great business – Free Course: https://www.jasonhartman.com/deals
    Special Offer from Ron LeGrand:
    https://JasonHartman.com/Ron
    Free Mini-Book on Pandemic Investing:
    https://www.PandemicInvesting.com

    • 31 min
    335: Declining Home Sales- What It Means for Investors and Renters with Selma Hepp

    335: Declining Home Sales- What It Means for Investors and Renters with Selma Hepp

    Jason welcomes Selma Hepp, the Chief Economist of Core Logic. They discuss the challenging state of the real estate market and noted that the market was facing issues due to rising mortgage rates, which led to a decline in transactions and mortgage refinances. Additionally, she highlighted that existing homeowners were benefiting from this situation due to their low mortgage rates and increasing equity. Selma also pointed out that the volume of home sales was down by 18% last year and was expected to decline by a similar amount this year, while mortgage origins were likely to be down by 30-35%. She also mentioned that the inventory of available homes for sale was at its lowest level historically, a quarter of where it was before the great recession. Despite this challenging market, Selma didn’t expect much change until the spring of next year.
     
    Follow Jason on TWITTER, INSTAGRAM & LINKEDIN
    Twitter.com/JasonHartmanROI
    Instagram.com/jasonhartman1/
    Linkedin.com/in/jasonhartmaninvestor/
    Call our Investment Counselors at: 1-800-HARTMAN (US) or visit: https://www.jasonhartman.com/
    Free Class:  Easily get up to $250,000 in funding for real estate, business or anything else: http://JasonHartman.com/Fund
    CYA Protect Your Assets, Save Taxes & Estate Planning:
    http://JasonHartman.com/Protect
    Get wholesale real estate deals for investment or build a great business – Free Course: https://www.jasonhartman.com/deals
    Special Offer from Ron LeGrand:
    https://JasonHartman.com/Ron
    Free Mini-Book on Pandemic Investing:
    https://www.PandemicInvesting.com

    • 26 min
    334: Global Economy, Demographic Trends and the Resilience of the US Rental Housing Market

    334: Global Economy, Demographic Trends and the Resilience of the US Rental Housing Market

    Jason discusses the state of the economy, focusing on the role of the Federal Reserve and potential supply chain issues. He also shared his opinion on the strength of the US dollar and Argentina’s decision to adopt it. Towards the end, Jason addressed the issue of inflation and its steady fall since June of the previous year. He also discussed changes in active inventory across various local real estate markets, comparing it to 2019, and highlighted the importance of inventory in the real estate market.
    Then Jason and Brian Beaulieu, Chief Economist at ITR Economics, talks about the state of the global economy, particularly in China and Europe and the potential for deflation in the real estate market in the early 2030s, the expected trajectory of inflation and the Federal Reserve’s response to it, and the state of the US housing market. They also highlight the resilience of the real estate market, even in a high-interest-rate environment, and the importance of being unleveraged in the United States and in demographically superior states.
    #EconomicOutlook #RealEstateInvesting #GlobalEconomicTrends #ChinaEconomicGrowth #DemographicChallenges #Inflation #InterestRates #HousingMarket #Affordability #CulturalShifts
    https://www.CalculatedRiskBlog.com/2023/01/housing-january-30th-weekly-update.html
    https://ITREconomics.com/
    Key Takeaways:
    Jason’s editorial
    1:29 Defeating inflation, US Dollar hegemony and Argentina
    4:30 FED- ready for the next crisis
    7:08 Local inventory numbers
    10:44 Shadow demand vs. shadow supply
    Brian Beaulieu interview
    12:21 Income property- getting the middle class wealthy
    14:12 Macro view on a global scale
    15:38 Chart: China is weakening and will continue to weaken
    16:25 Chart: Historic opportunity- India is the most populous country
    18:27 Making the case for deflation in the 2030’s
    22:21 Chart: This is only round one of inflation going forward
    25:36 Capitulation- buyers will eventually accept less
    29:46 How it all relates to the rental housing market
     
    Follow Jason on TWITTER, INSTAGRAM & LINKEDIN
    Twitter.com/JasonHartmanROI
    Instagram.com/jasonhartman1/
    Linkedin.com/in/jasonhartmaninvestor/
    Call our Investment Counselors at: 1-800-HARTMAN (US) or visit: https://www.jasonhartman.com/
    Free Class:  Easily get up to $250,000 in funding for real estate, business or anything else: http://JasonHartman.com/Fund
    CYA Protect Your Assets, Save Taxes & Estate Planning:
    http://JasonHartman.com/Protect
    Get wholesale real estate deals for investment or build a great business – Free Course: https://www.jasonhartman.com/deals
    Special Offer from Ron LeGrand:
    https://JasonHartman.com/Ron
    Free Mini-Book on Pandemic Investing:
    https://www.PandemicInvesting.com

    • 32 min
    333: Freddie Mac Economist Reveals Connection with Mortgage Debt & GDP; What Every Homeowner Must Know!

    333: Freddie Mac Economist Reveals Connection with Mortgage Debt & GDP; What Every Homeowner Must Know!

    Jason talks about the importance of understanding the relationship between household real estate value, mortgage debt, and GDP. The presented chart indicates increased equity and decreased mortgage debt as a percentage of GDP, highlighting a more stable housing market. He touches on the benefits of leveraging properties and he analyzes a chart on median sold prices based on bedroom count, revealing significant appreciation in lower-priced properties.
    Jason welcomes Len Kiefer, Deputy Chief Economist at Freddie Mac, as they discuss the current state of the real estate market. Despite concerns about rising interest rates, Kiefer highlighted the resilience of the U.S. economy, emphasizing the stability of the housing market throughout 2023. While acknowledging a potential slowdown in consumer spending due to higher rates, Kiefer pointed out that the housing market has seen low transaction volumes and reduced refinance activity, impacting affordability. He also discussed the unique situation of homeowners with ultra-low mortgage rates, estimating the value of their locked-in rates at around $55,000 per borrower. Kiefer predicted a gradual thawing of the market as consumers adapt to the new interest rate environment. He also underscored the importance of considering broader economic factors and demographic trends in understanding the housing market’s dynamics.
    #RealEstate #HousingMarket #EconomicOutlook #Millennials #HousingMarket #RealEstate #EconomicAnalysis
    Key Takeaways:
    Jason’s editorial
    1:28 Introducing Len Kiefer, Deputy Chief Economist at Freddie Mac
    1:46 Chart: Household real estate value and mortgage debt as percent of GDP
    4:43 FireYourManager.com
    5:41 RocketHomes Chart: Median sold price by bedroom count
     
    Len Kiefer interview
    8:33 The view from 30,000 feet
    11:24 Charts: Spike in mortgage rates made it very expensive for homeowners to move
    13:25 Chart: Historically low rates in previous years means there is no Refi incentive given today’s rates
    14:47 Chart: Homeowners locked into low mortgage rates are content to remain in their current homes
    20:53 Market is starting to thaw
    22:34 Chart: Due to savings from fixed mortgages, household spending may be less sensitive to financial conditions
    27:30 Chart: Housing demand robust on favorable Age demographics of FTHBs
    31:53 Chart: The U.S. faces a massive undersupply of housing
    34:40 Chart: Strong demand from FTHBs and low supply led to a surge in entry-level home prices
    38:32 Higher housing costs are contributing to more young adults living at home with their parents
    For more information visit https://www.freddiemac.com/research
     
    Follow Jason on TWITTER, INSTAGRAM & LINKEDIN
    Twitter.com/JasonHartmanROI
    Instagram.com/jasonhartman1/
    Linkedin.com/in/jasonhartmaninvestor/
    Call our Investment Counselors at: 1-800-HARTMAN (US) or visit: https://www.jasonhartman.com/
    Free Class:  Easily get up to $250,000 in funding for real estate, business or anything else: http://JasonHartman.com/Fund
    CYA Protect Your Assets, Save Taxes & Estate Planning:
    http://JasonHartman.com/Protect
    Get wholesale real estate deals for investment or build a great business – Free Course: https://www.jasonhartman.com/deals
    Special Offer from Ron LeGrand:
    https://JasonHartman.com/Ron
    Free Mini-Book on Pandemic Investing:
    https://www.PandemicInvesting.com

    • 41 min

Customer Reviews

4.3 out of 5
54 Ratings

54 Ratings

Multifamily University ,

Great podcast!

Terrific topics and very insightful!

Myke Gee ,

Professional and Well produced

Instant fan. Listened to Dr Friedman episode. I’m a CRE broker and can’t wait to dive in to 200+ more episodes. Well done.

Phild2400 ,

Celebrating Marxism

Episode 246 maybe the most ridiculous topic I’ve ever heard discussed on a podcast

The Marxist socialist you were talking to (not using his name) who said he had 3 degrees from major colleges was still lamenting because nobody taught the poor baby about Marxism (that’s a lie I'm sure) he went on about how calm and understanding Marxism is and how we should all study it - That is the calm voice you hear wispering in your ear just before he puts a knife in your back.

historically Marxism is a miserable failure and you have this moron come on and tell us how great it is and how we should all study Marxism is a slap in the face of America and what is fundamentally wrong with our colleges today

This communist doesn’t want us to study Marxism he wants to flip America to Marxism and all the terrible things that come with it like how well it worked in Cuba look how well it’s working in Venezuela.

Shame on you for allowing this idiot spew this poison on your podcast

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